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Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 1 logo Spain flag Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Group 1 - 38 Estadio Principe Felipe· Cáceres Saturday, May 23, 2026 16:30
Cacereno logo Cacereno PPG 1.17
1-2 MISS
Talavera CF logo Talavera CF PPG 0.72
Home· +81.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 43.1%
Odds: 4.20 EV: +81.0%
Draw 30.8%
Odds: 3.25 EV: +0.1%
Away 26.1%
Odds: 1.80 EV: -31.8%
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.2% Odds: 2.15 -0.7%
Over 3.5 14.9% Odds: 3.90 -25.1%
BTTS 48.6% Odds: 1.93 -6.2%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 1-0
4th 0-1
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Cacereno
1.14
Talavera CF
0.90

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record

Based on 60 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%
O2.5/Under 53%
BTTS/No 62%
Score Hit 47%
ROI -35.1%
Bet Hit 35% (17 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.17) > Away POOR (0.72)

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