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Pyunik vs Noah Prediction— Armenia - Premier League

Regular Season - 13 ·Saturday, May 23, 2026, 15:00

Pyunik

PPG 2.45 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

Noah

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.9%0-114.1%0-27.6%0-32.8%0-4+1.0%1 1-012.4%1-113.5%1-27.3%1-32.7%1-4+0.9%2 2-05.9%2-16.5%2-23.5%2-31.3%2-4+0.4%3 3-01.9%3-12.1%3-21.1%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.6%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 33.5% — — —

Draw 30.4% — — —

Away win 36.2% — — —

Over 2.5 46.2% — — —

Over 3.5 15.1% — — —

BTTS 48.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 32 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 47%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 50%

ROI -20.4%

Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 36%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob48.6%

D 30% / xG 1.0-1.1 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.5%

#2 0–0✓ 12.9%

#3 0–1 14.1%

#4 1–0 12.4%

#5 0–2 7.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Pyunik1.0

Noah1.1

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.2% · O3.5 PROB 15.1%

Form & verdict PPG

PYUNIK · PPG 2.45

NOAH · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.45) > Away EXCELLENT (2.00)

Win probability 1X2

Pyunik (H) 33.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 30.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Noah (A) 36.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Pyunik face Noah in Armenia - Premier League on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Pyunik a 34% chance, the draw 30% and Noah 36%, so Noah are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Pyunik and 1.1 for Noah (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Pyunik are averaging 2.45 points per game versus 2.00 for Noah. This match finished 0-0.

Pyunik vs Noah Prediction— Armenia - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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