Today / Armenia - Premier League / Shirak vs Urartu

Shirak vs Urartu Prediction— Armenia - Premier League

Regular Season - 26 ·Monday, May 18, 2026, 13:00

Shirak

PPG 0.67 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · AWAY

Urartu

PPG 2.15 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Model probability 64.3% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.2%0-114.8%0-215.3%0-310.5%0-4+8.7%1 1-04.1%1-18.4%1-28.7%1-36.0%1-4+5.0%2 2-01.2%2-12.4%2-22.5%2-31.7%2-4+1.4%3 3-00.2%3-10.5%3-20.5%3-30.3%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.1%4+-20.1%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 13.7% 18.2% 5.50 -14.8%

Draw 22.0% 25.3% 3.95 -7.9%

Away win 64.3% 66.7% 1.50 -3.5%

Over 2.5 52.6% 58.8% 1.70 -10.6%

Over 3.5 27.2% 36.4% 2.75 -15.1%

BTTS 48.6% 57.8% 1.73 -15.9%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 32 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 47%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 50%

ROI -20.4%

Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 3 41%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)0.6 xG (away)2.1 BTTS prob48.6%

A 64% / xG 0.6-2.1 / O2.5 53% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 15.3%

#2 0–1 14.8%

#3 0–3 10.5%

#4 1–1 8.4%

#5 1–2 8.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Shirak0.6

Urartu2.1

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.6% · O3.5 PROB 27.2%

Form & verdict PPG

SHIRAK · PPG 0.67

URARTU · PPG 2.15

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.15) vs Home POOR (0.67)

Win probability 1X2

Shirak (H) 13.7%

ODDS 5.50 · IMPLIED 18.2% EV -14.8%

Draw 22.0%

ODDS 3.95 · IMPLIED 25.3% EV -7.9%

Urartu (A) 64.3%

ODDS 1.50 · IMPLIED 66.7% EV -3.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Shirak face Urartu in Armenia - Premier League on Monday, May 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Shirak a 14% chance, the draw 22% and Urartu 64%, so Urartu are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for Shirak and 2.1 for Urartu (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Shirak are averaging 0.67 points per game versus 2.15 for Urartu. This match finished 0-0.

Shirak vs Urartu Prediction— Armenia - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Armenia - Premier League Predictions