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Armenia - Premier League logo Armenia flag Armenia - Premier League Regular Season - 27 Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium· Yerevan Tuesday, May 26, 2026 15:00
Ararat Yerevan logo Ararat Yerevan PPG 0.42
1-1 HIT MostLikelyScore
BKMA logo BKMA PPG 0.75
Away· +26.8% ⚠ CAUTION - Home form weak, consider away
65% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 28.3%
Odds: 2.25 EV: -21.8%
Draw 26.4%
Odds: 3.35 EV: -6.9%
Away 45.3%
Odds: 2.80 EV: +26.8%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 52.6% Odds: 1.85 -2.7%
Over 3.5 26.6% Odds: 3.20 -8.9%
BTTS 52.5% Odds: 1.67 -12.3%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-1
3rd 1-2
4th 0-0
5th 0-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Ararat Yerevan
1.03
BKMA
1.58

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -2.7% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -2.7% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+26.8%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 32 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%
O2.5/Under 47%
BTTS/No 56%
Score Hit 50%
ROI -42.6%
Bet Hit 43% (7 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ CAUTION - Home form weak, consider away
65%
DANGER

Home weakness: POOR (0.42) vs Away POOR (0.75)

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