Today / Armenia - Premier League / Urartu vs Noah

Urartu vs Noah Prediction— Armenia - Premier League

Regular Season - 27 ·Wednesday, May 27, 2026, 15:00

Urartu

PPG 1.67 · HOME

0 – 5

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Noah

PPG 1.92 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 51.6% vs bookmaker-implied 56.5%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.2%0-111.0%0-26.7%0-32.7%0-4+1.0%1 1-010.9%1-113.1%1-27.9%1-33.2%1-4+1.2%2 2-06.4%2-17.8%2-24.7%2-31.9%2-4+0.7%3 3-02.5%3-13.1%3-21.8%3-30.7%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-11.2%4+-20.7%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.8% 20.0% 5.00 +79.0%

Draw 27.5% 27.4% 3.65 +0.2%

Away win 36.7% 62.5% 1.60 -41.3%

Over 2.5 47.4% 55.6% 1.80 -14.7%

Over 3.5 21.9% 33.3% 3.00 -20.6%

BTTS 51.6% 56.5% 1.77 -8.7%

Home O1.5 33.2% 28.2% 3.55 +17.9%

Away O1.5 33.9% 59.9% 1.67 -43.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 32 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 47%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 50%

ROI -20.4%

Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 21%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-5

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob51.6%

A 37% / xG 1.2-1.2 / U2.5 47% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.1%

#2 0–0 9.2%

#3 0–1 11.0%

#4 1–0 10.9%

#5 1–2 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Urartu1.2

Noah1.2

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 47.4% · O3.5 PROB 21.9%

Form & verdict PPG

URARTU · PPG 1.67

NOAH · PPG 1.92

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity | Best EV...

48%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.67), Away GOOD (1.92)

Win probability 1X2

Urartu (H) 35.8%

ODDS 5.00 · IMPLIED 20.0% EV +79.0%

Draw 27.5%

ODDS 3.65 · IMPLIED 27.4% EV +0.2%

Noah (A) 36.7%

ODDS 1.60 · IMPLIED 62.5% EV -41.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Urartu face Noah in Armenia - Premier League on Wednesday, May 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Urartu a 36% chance, the draw 28% and Noah 37%, so Noah are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Urartu and 1.2 for Noah (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Urartu are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 1.92 for Noah. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +79.0%. This match finished 0-5.

Urartu vs Noah Prediction— Armenia - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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