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Armenia - Premier League logo Armenia flag Armenia - Premier League Regular Season - 26 Football Academy Stadium· Yerevan Sunday, May 17, 2026 15:00
BKMA logo BKMA PPG 1.00
2-3 MISS
Ararat-Armenia logo Ararat-Armenia PPG 2.08
Home· +51.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
63% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 22.2%
Odds: 8.40 EV: +51.9%
Draw 25.3%
Odds: 4.80 EV: +12.9%
Away 52.5%
Odds: 1.28 EV: -32.8%
Model lean: Away Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 47.6% Odds: 1.62 -22.9%
Over 3.5 23.9% Odds: 2.50 -24.1%
BTTS 51.6% Odds: 1.93 -0.4%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-1
3rd 0-2
4th 0-0
5th 1-2

Expected Goals (xG)

BKMA
0.85
Ararat-Armenia
1.64

Model Suggestion

Away -32.8% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Away, but EV is -32.8% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Home (+51.9%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 32 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%
O2.5/Under 47%
BTTS/No 56%
Score Hit 50%
ROI -42.6%
Bet Hit 43% (7 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
63%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.08) vs Home AVERAGE (1.00)

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