Armenia - Premier LeagueRegular Season - 26Abovyan City Stadium· AbovyanTuesday, May 19, 202615:00
NoahPPG 2.08
8-3MISS
Ararat YerevanPPG 0.54
Away· +33.6%✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
95% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home71.6%
Odds: 1.09EV: -22.0%
Draw20.6%
Odds: 7.40EV: +31.5%
Away7.8%
Odds: 20.00EV: +33.6%
Model lean: HomeNot tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.563.9%Odds: 1.36-13.1%
Over 3.545.2%Odds: 1.93-12.8%
BTTS48.5%Odds: 2.40+16.4%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔BTTS NO → YES ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st2-0✘
2nd3-0✘
3rd4-0✘
4th1-0✘
5th2-1✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Noah
2.97
Ararat Yerevan
0.48
Model Suggestion
Home-22.0%NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -22.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet. Highest raw EV: Away (+33.6%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
95%
STRONG_HOME
Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.08), Away POOR (0.54) - Strong consensus