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Armenia - Premier League logo Armenia flag Armenia - Premier League Regular Season - 26 Abovyan City Stadium· Abovyan Tuesday, May 19, 2026 15:00
Noah logo Noah PPG 2.08
8-3 MISS
Ararat Yerevan logo Ararat Yerevan PPG 0.54
Away· +33.6% ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
95% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 71.6%
Odds: 1.09 EV: -22.0%
Draw 20.6%
Odds: 7.40 EV: +31.5%
Away 7.8%
Odds: 20.00 EV: +33.6%
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 63.9% Odds: 1.36 -13.1%
Over 3.5 45.2% Odds: 1.93 -12.8%
BTTS 48.5% Odds: 2.40 +16.4%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0
2nd 3-0
3rd 4-0
4th 1-0
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Noah
2.97
Ararat Yerevan
0.48

Model Suggestion

Home -22.0% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -22.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+33.6%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
95%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.08), Away POOR (0.54) - Strong consensus

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