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Armenia - Premier League logo Armenia flag Armenia - Premier League Regular Season - 27 Alashkert Stadium· Yerevan Tuesday, May 26, 2026 15:00
Alashkert logo Alashkert PPG 2.00
2-0 HIT MostLikelyScore
Shirak logo Shirak PPG 0.31
Draw· +8.7% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
66% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 66.8%
Odds: 1.25 EV: -16.5%
Draw 24.1%
Odds: 4.75 EV: +8.7%
Away 9.2%
Odds: 11.00 EV: +0.7%
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 52.0% Odds: 1.70 -11.6%
Over 3.5 26.2% Odds: 2.70 -17.6%
BTTS 46.3% Odds: 2.15 -0.4%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0
2nd 1-0
3rd 3-0
4th 1-1
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Alashkert
2.08
Shirak
0.51

Model Suggestion

Home -16.5% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -16.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Draw (+8.7%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
66%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.00), Away POOR (0.31) - Strong consensus

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