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Pyunik vs Van Prediction— Armenia - Premier League

Regular Season - 27 ·Wednesday, May 27, 2026, 15:00

Pyunik

PPG 2.33 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Van

PPG 1.08 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 61.8% vs bookmaker-implied 80.0%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.6%0-14.9%0-21.2%0-30.2%0-4+0.0%1 1-017.6%1-19.0%1-22.3%1-30.4%1-4+0.1%2 2-016.2%2-18.2%2-22.1%2-30.4%2-4+0.0%3 3-09.9%3-15.0%3-21.3%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-06.9%4+-13.5%4+-20.9%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 61.8% 80.0% 1.25 -22.8%

Draw 23.8% 21.1% 4.75 +7.8%

Away win 14.4% 9.8% 10.25 +28.6%

Over 2.5 46.9% 61.7% 1.62 -24.0%

Over 3.5 20.9% 40.0% 2.50 -28.6%

BTTS 46.2% 51.3% 1.95 -9.9%

Home O1.5 54.8% 73.5% 1.36 -25.5%

Away O1.5 9.3% 19.0% 5.25 -30.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 32 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 47%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 50%

ROI -20.4%

Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 40%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob46.2%

H 62% / xG 1.8-0.5 / U2.5 47% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 17.6%

#2 2–0 16.2%

#3 0–0 9.6%

#4 1–1 9.0%

#5 3–0 9.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Pyunik1.8

Van0.5

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.9% · O3.5 PROB 20.9%

Form & verdict PPG

PYUNIK · PPG 2.33

VAN · PPG 1.08

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.33) vs P(Home)=61.8%

Win probability 1X2

Pyunik (H) 61.8%

ODDS 1.25 · IMPLIED 80.0% EV -22.8%

Draw 23.8%

ODDS 4.75 · IMPLIED 21.1% EV +7.8%

Van (A) 14.4%

ODDS 10.25 · IMPLIED 9.8% EV +28.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Pyunik face Van in Armenia - Premier League on Wednesday, May 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Pyunik a 62% chance, the draw 24% and Van 14%, so Pyunik are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Pyunik and 0.5 for Van (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Pyunik are averaging 2.33 points per game versus 1.08 for Van. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +28.6%. This match finished 2-1.

Pyunik vs Van Prediction— Armenia - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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