Clermont vs Guingamp Prediction & Tips

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France - Ligue 2 Regular Season - 34 Stade Gabriel Montpied· Clermont-Ferrand Saturday, May 9, 2026 18:00

Clermont PPG 1.13

1-0 HIT CS3

Guingamp PPG 1.06

Home· +13.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 39.5%

Odds: 2.88 EV: +13.8%

Draw 28.7%

Odds: 3.65 EV: +2.9%

Away 31.8%

Odds: 2.25 EV: -28.4%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.5% Odds: 1.70 -20.9%

Over 3.5 23.0% Odds: 2.80 -21.4%

BTTS 52.3% Odds: 1.57 -17.9%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✔

4th 2-1 ✘

5th 0-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Clermont

1.29

Guingamp

1.15

Model SuggestionBTTS -17.9% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -17.9% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home (+13.8%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.13), Away AVERAGE (1.06)