Today / France - Ligue 2 / Annecy vs Rodez Aveyron

Annecy vs Rodez Aveyron Prediction— France - Ligue 2

Matchday 34 ·Saturday, May 9, 2026, 18:00

Annecy

PPG 1.69 · HOME

LAST 5

DWWWL

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Rodez Aveyron

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

LAST 5

DWWWD

// Model verdict

BTTS 59% chance

Model probability 52.3% vs bookmaker-implied 61.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.6%0-19.5%0-24.7%0-31.6%0-4+0.5%1 1-012.9%1-112.9%1-26.4%1-32.1%1-4+0.7%2 2-08.8%2-18.7%2-24.3%2-31.4%2-4+0.4%3 3-03.9%3-13.9%3-22.0%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.8%4+-11.8%4+-20.9%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.7% 45.5% 2.20 -1.7%

Draw 28.8% 28.6% 3.50 +0.5%

Away win 26.5% 32.3% 3.10 -10.7%

Over 2.5 46.5% 55.6% 1.80 -16.3%

Over 3.5 21.0% 33.3% 3.00 -22.2%

BTTS 52.3% 61.7% 1.62 -15.3%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 50 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 40%

ROI 13.0%

Bet Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 26%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob52.3%

H 45% / xG 1.4-1.0 / U2.5 46% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.9%

#2 0–0 9.6%

#3 1–0 12.9%

#4 2–0 8.8%

#5 2–1 8.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Annecy1.4

Rodez Aveyron1.0

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.5% · O3.5 PROB 21.0%

Form & verdict PPG

ANNECY · PPG 1.69

RODEZ AVEYRON · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

59%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.69), Away GOOD (1.50)

Win probability 1X2

Annecy (H) 44.7%

ODDS 2.20 · IMPLIED 45.5% EV -1.7%

Draw 28.8%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV +0.5%

Rodez Aveyron (A) 26.5%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -10.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Annecy face Rodez Aveyron in France - Ligue 2 on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Annecy a 45% chance, the draw 29% and Rodez Aveyron 27%, so Annecy are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Annecy and 1.0 for Rodez Aveyron (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Annecy are averaging 1.69 points per game versus 1.50 for Rodez Aveyron. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +0.5%. This match finished 1-2.

Annecy vs Rodez Aveyron Prediction— France - Ligue 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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