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France - Ligue 2 logo France flag France - Ligue 2 Regular Season - 34 Stade Geoffroy-Guichard· Saint Etienne Saturday, May 9, 2026 18:00
Saint-Etienne logo Saint-Etienne PPG 2.00
5-0 MISS
Amiens logo Amiens PPG 0.94
Away· +157.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 52.1%
Odds: 1.15 EV: -40.1%
Draw 25.3%
Odds: 7.20 EV: +49.3%
Away 22.6%
Odds: 16.00 EV: +157.0%
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 60.0% Odds: 1.33 -20.2%
Over 3.5 37.4% Odds: 1.83 -31.6%
BTTS 54.6% Odds: 1.91 +4.3%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-0
3rd 2-1
4th 1-0
5th 3-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Saint-Etienne
2.15
Amiens
0.95

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -20.2% ROI TRACKS: BTTS
Tracked ROI market: BTTS.
Raw EV leader: Away(+157.0%)

League Track Record

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%
O2.5/Under 66%
BTTS/No 60%
Score Hit 40%
ROI -12.0%
Bet Hit 46% (11 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=52.1%

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