Casertana PPG 2.22
Giugliano PPG 0.67Casertana face Giugliano in Italy - Serie C - Girone C on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Casertana a 65% chance, the draw 22% and Giugliano 13%, so Casertana are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.5 for Casertana and 0.7 for Giugliano (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Casertana are averaging 2.22 points per game versus 0.67 for Giugliano. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +31.3%. This match finished 1-1.
Based on 21 resolved predictions
Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.22), Away POOR (0.67) - Strong consensus