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Picerno PPG 1.17 
Sorrento PPG 0.78
Picerno vs Sorrento Prediction— Italy - Serie C - Girone C
Picerno PPG 1.170-0 MISS
Sorrento PPG 0.78 ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52% confidence
Match Preview & Prediction
Picerno face Sorrento in Italy - Serie C - Girone C on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Picerno a 50% chance, the draw 28% and Sorrento 22%, so Picerno are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Picerno and 1.0 for Sorrento (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Picerno are averaging 1.17 points per game versus 0.78 for Sorrento. This match finished 0-0.
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw
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Goals Markets
Over 2.5 59.0% Odds: — —
Over 3.5 35.2% Odds: — —
BTTS 57.8% Odds: — —
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 2-0 ✘
3rd 2-1 ✘
4th 1-0 ✘
5th 3-0 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Picerno 2.04
Sorrento 0.95
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 21 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 24%
O2.5/Under 57%
BTTS/No 48%
Score Hit 57%
ROI -20.6%
Bet Hit 43% (14 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
MODERATE_HOME 52%
Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.17) > Away POOR (0.78)