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Potenza vs Monopoli Prediction— Italy - Serie C - Girone C

Italy - Serie C - Girone C logo Italy flag Italy - Serie C - Girone C Girone C - 38 Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani· Potenza Sunday, April 26, 2026 16:00
Potenza logo Potenza PPG 1.89
2-2 MISS
Monopoli logo Monopoli PPG 1.22
Home· +15.8% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Potenza face Monopoli in Italy - Serie C - Girone C on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Potenza a 50% chance, the draw 28% and Monopoli 22%, so Potenza are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Potenza and 0.9 for Monopoli (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Potenza are averaging 1.89 points per game versus 1.22 for Monopoli. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +15.8%. This match finished 2-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 49.7%
Odds: 2.33 EV: +15.8%
Draw 28.5%
Odds: 2.95 EV: -15.9%
Away 21.8%
Odds: 3.00 EV: -34.6%
Model lean: BTTS
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 51.6% Odds: 2.10 +8.4%
Over 3.5 28.7% Odds: 3.70 +6.2%
BTTS 52.6% Odds: 1.77 -6.9%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-0
3rd 1-0
4th 2-1
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Potenza
1.83
Monopoli
0.88

Model Suggestion

BTTS -6.9% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

League Track Record

Based on 21 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 24%
O2.5/Under 57%
BTTS/No 48%
Score Hit 57%
ROI -20.6%
Bet Hit 43% (14 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.89) > Away AVERAGE (1.22)

PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. We do not provide financial or betting advice. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. Please gamble responsibly. 18+ only. BeGambleAware.org