Portmore Utd vs Arnett Gardens Prediction— Jamaica - Premier League

Jamaica - Premier League Regular Season - 37 Ferdi Neita Sports Complex· Portmore Sunday, April 26, 2026 20:30

Portmore Utd PPG 1.71

1-2 MISS

Arnett Gardens PPG 1.28

Over2.5· +2.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Portmore Utd face Arnett Gardens in Jamaica - Premier League on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Portmore Utd a 47% chance, the draw 28% and Arnett Gardens 25%, so Portmore Utd are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Portmore Utd and 0.8 for Arnett Gardens (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Portmore Utd are averaging 1.71 points per game versus 1.28 for Arnett Gardens. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +2.5%. This match finished 1-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 46.6%

Odds: 1.95 EV: -9.1%

Draw 28.5%

Odds: 3.20 EV: -8.8%

Away 24.9%

Odds: 3.50 EV: -12.8%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 50.0% Odds: 2.05 +2.5%

Over 3.5 23.1% Odds: — —

BTTS 52.6% Odds: — —

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-0 ✘

3rd 2-0 ✘

4th 0-0 ✘

5th 2-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Portmore Utd

1.63

Arnett Gardens

0.82

Model SuggestionBTTS  NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is — at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Over2.5 (+2.5%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.71) > Away AVERAGE (1.28)