Arnett Gardens vs Cavalier Prediction— Jamaica - Premier League

Jamaica - Premier League Regular Season - 36 Anthony Spaulding Sports Complex· Kingston Friday, April 24, 2026 00:00

Arnett Gardens PPG 1.24

2-1 HIT CS5

Cavalier PPG 1.53

Home· +14.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Arnett Gardens face Cavalier in Jamaica - Premier League on Friday, April 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Arnett Gardens a 44% chance, the draw 28% and Cavalier 29%, so Arnett Gardens are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Arnett Gardens and 1.0 for Cavalier (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 42% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Arnett Gardens are averaging 1.24 points per game versus 1.53 for Cavalier. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +14.5%. This match finished 2-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 43.7%

Odds: 2.62 EV: +14.5%

Draw 27.6%

Odds: 2.90 EV: -20.0%

Away 28.7%

Odds: 2.45 EV: -29.7%

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 41.8% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 21.2% Odds: — —

BTTS 47.1% Odds: 1.62 -23.7%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-0 ✘

3rd 0-1 ✘

4th 0-0 ✘

5th 2-1 ✔

Expected Goals (xG)

Arnett Gardens

1.33

Cavalier

1.02

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.24), Away GOOD (1.53)