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Arnett Gardens vs Cavalier Prediction— Jamaica - Premier League

Regular Season - 36 ·Friday, April 24, 2026, 00:00

Arnett Gardens

PPG 1.24 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

Cavalier

PPG 1.53 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.5%0-19.7%0-25.0%0-31.7%0-4+0.5%1 1-012.7%1-112.9%1-26.6%1-32.3%1-4+0.7%2 2-08.4%2-18.6%2-24.4%2-31.5%2-4+0.5%3 3-03.7%3-13.8%3-22.0%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.7%4+-11.7%4+-20.9%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.7% 38.2% 2.62 +14.5%

Draw 27.6% 34.5% 2.90 -20.0%

Away win 28.7% 40.8% 2.45 -29.7%

Over 2.5 41.8% — — —

Over 3.5 21.2% — — —

BTTS 47.1% 61.7% 1.62 -23.7%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 74%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 37%

ROI -3.3%

Bet Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 31%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob47.1%

H 44% / xG 1.3-1.0 / U2.5 42% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.9%

#2 1–0 12.7%

#3 0–1 9.7%

#4 0–0 9.5%

#5 2–1✓ 8.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Arnett Gardens1.3

Cavalier1.0

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 41.8% · O3.5 PROB 21.2%

Form & verdict PPG

ARNETT GARDENS · PPG 1.24

CAVALIER · PPG 1.53

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.24), Away GOOD (1.53)

Win probability 1X2

Arnett Gardens (H) 43.7%

ODDS 2.62 · IMPLIED 38.2% EV +14.5%

Draw 27.6%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -20.0%

Cavalier (A) 28.7%

ODDS 2.45 · IMPLIED 40.8% EV -29.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Arnett Gardens face Cavalier in Jamaica - Premier League on Friday, April 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Arnett Gardens a 44% chance, the draw 28% and Cavalier 29%, so Arnett Gardens are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Arnett Gardens and 1.0 for Cavalier (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 42% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Arnett Gardens are averaging 1.24 points per game versus 1.53 for Cavalier. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +14.5%. This match finished 2-1.

Arnett Gardens vs Cavalier Prediction— Jamaica - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Jamaica - Premier League Predictions