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Cavalier vs Racing United Prediction— Jamaica - Premier League

Regular Season - 37 ·Sunday, April 26, 2026, 21:00

Cavalier

PPG 1.47 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Racing United

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.47), Away GOOD (1.50)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.8%0-110.2%0-25.3%0-31.8%0-4+0.6%1 1-012.6%1-113.1%1-26.8%1-32.4%1-4+0.8%2 2-08.1%2-18.4%2-24.4%2-31.5%2-4+0.5%3 3-03.5%3-13.6%3-21.9%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-11.5%4+-20.8%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.8% 39.2% 2.55 -3.6%

Draw 32.7% 32.8% 3.05 -0.3%

Away win 29.5% 39.2% 2.55 -24.8%

Over 2.5 50.0% 46.5% 2.15 +7.5%

Over 3.5 20.6% — — —

BTTS 52.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 74%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 37%

ROI -3.3%

Bet Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 35%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob52.6%

D 33% / xG 1.3-1.0 / U2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.1%

#2 0–0 9.8%

#3 1–0 12.6%

#4 2–1 8.4%

#5 0–1 10.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Cavalier1.3

Racing United1.0

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.0% · O3.5 PROB 20.6%

Form & verdict PPG

CAVALIER · PPG 1.47

RACING UNITED · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.47), Away GOOD (1.50)

Win probability 1X2

Cavalier (H) 37.8%

ODDS 2.55 · IMPLIED 39.2% EV -3.6%

Draw 32.7%

ODDS 3.05 · IMPLIED 32.8% EV -0.3%

Racing United (A) 29.5%

ODDS 2.55 · IMPLIED 39.2% EV -24.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Cavalier face Racing United in Jamaica - Premier League on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Cavalier a 38% chance, the draw 33% and Racing United 30%, so Cavalier are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Cavalier and 1.0 for Racing United (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Cavalier are averaging 1.47 points per game versus 1.50 for Racing United. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +7.5%. This match finished 2-0.

Cavalier vs Racing United Prediction— Jamaica - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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