Today / China - Super League / Tianjin Teda vs Hangzhou Greentown

Tianjin Teda vs Hangzhou Greentown Prediction— China - Super League

Matchday 26 ·Sunday, September 6, 2026, 12:00

Tianjin Teda

PPG 1.08 · HOME

LAST 5

WLLDD

UPCOMING

Hangzhou Greentown

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

LAST 5

WLLDW

// Model verdict

BTTS 64% chance

Model probability 60.9% vs bookmaker-implied 65.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.9%0-15.9%0-23.5%0-31.4%0-4+0.6%1 1-08.8%1-110.7%1-26.4%1-32.6%1-4+1.0%2 2-08.0%2-19.7%2-25.8%2-32.4%2-4+0.9%3 3-04.9%3-15.9%3-23.5%3-31.4%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-03.3%4+-14.0%4+-22.4%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.4% 40.0% 2.50 +16.0%

Draw 23.7% 30.3% 3.30 -13.1%

Away win 29.8% 38.5% 2.60 -13.5%

Over 2.5 60.4% 61.7% 1.62 -2.1%

Over 3.5 37.4% 40.0% 2.50 -6.5%

BTTS 60.9% 65.4% 1.53 -6.8%

Home O1.5 51.6% 50.0% 2.00 +3.2%

Away O1.5 36.7% 50.0% 2.00 -26.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 109 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 35%

ROI -10.7%

Bet Hit 52%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 51%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob60.9%

H 46% / xG 1.8-1.2 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.7%

#2 2–1 9.7%

#3 1–2 6.4%

#4 2–0 8.0%

#5 1–0 8.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Tianjin Teda1.8

Hangzhou Greentown1.2

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.4% · O3.5 PROB 37.4%

Form & verdict PPG

TIANJIN TEDA · PPG 1.08

HANGZHOU GREENTOWN · PPG 1.00

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

Chance this pick lands

64%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.61 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Tianjin Teda (H) 46.4%

ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV +16.0%

Draw 23.7%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -13.1%

Hangzhou Greentown (A) 29.8%

ODDS 2.60 · IMPLIED 38.5% EV -13.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Tianjin Teda face Hangzhou Greentown in China - Super League on Sunday, September 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Tianjin Teda a 46% chance, the draw 24% and Hangzhou Greentown 30%, so Tianjin Teda are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Tianjin Teda and 1.2 for Hangzhou Greentown (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Tianjin Teda are averaging 1.08 points per game versus 1.00 for Hangzhou Greentown. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +28.9%.

Tianjin Teda vs Hangzhou Greentown Prediction— China - Super League

Match Preview & Prediction

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