Indonesia - Liga 1Regular Season - 31Stadion Batakan· BalikpapanTuesday, May 5, 202612:00
BorneoPPG 2.67
2-0HIT CS3
PersitaPPG 1.20
Away· +26.3%⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home49.7%
Odds: 1.40EV: -30.4%
Draw28.5%
Odds: 4.20EV: +11.8%
Away21.8%
Odds: 6.60EV: +26.3%
Model lean: BTTSNot tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.550.0%Odds: 1.62-19.0%
Over 3.525.1%Odds: 2.50-22.4%
BTTS52.6%Odds: 1.70-10.6%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st1-1✘
2nd1-0✘
3rd2-0✔
4th2-1✘
5th0-0✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Borneo
1.76
Persita
0.77
Model Suggestion
BTTS-10.6%NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -10.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet. Highest raw EV: Away (+26.3%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.67) vs P(Home)=49.7%