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Indonesia - Liga 1 logo Indonesia flag Indonesia - Liga 1 Regular Season - 34 Gelora Bung Tomo Stadium· Surabaya Saturday, May 23, 2026 09:00
Persebaya S. logo Persebaya S. PPG 1.75
5-0 MISS
Persik Kediri logo Persik Kediri PPG 0.63
Away· -0.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 53.2%
Odds: 1.64 EV: -12.8%
Draw 24.7%
Odds: 3.80 EV: -3.7%
Away 22.1%
Odds: 4.50 EV: -0.3%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.1% Odds: 1.62 -4.3%
Over 3.5 34.8% Odds: 2.50 -13.0%
BTTS 52.6% Odds: 1.57 -17.4%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-0
3rd 2-1
4th 1-0
5th 3-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Persebaya S.
2.06
Persik Kediri
0.92

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -4.3% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -4.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.75) vs P(Home)=53.2%

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