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Indonesia - Liga 1
Regular Season - 34
Gelora Bung Tomo Stadium· Surabaya
Saturday, May 23, 2026
09:00
Persebaya S.
PPG 1.75
5-0
MISS
Persik Kediri
PPG 0.63
Away· -0.3%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
53.2%
Odds: 1.64
EV: -12.8%
Draw
24.7%
Odds: 3.80
EV: -3.7%
Away
22.1%
Odds: 4.50
EV: -0.3%
Model lean:
Over 2.5
Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
59.1%
Odds: 1.62
-4.3%
Over 3.5
34.8%
Odds: 2.50
-13.0%
BTTS
52.6%
Odds: 1.57
-17.4%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔
BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-1
✘
2nd
2-0
✘
3rd
2-1
✘
4th
1-0
✘
5th
3-0
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Persebaya S.
2.06
Persik Kediri
0.92
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5
-4.3%
NO VALUE BET
No value bet:
model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -4.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME
Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.75) vs P(Home)=53.2%