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Indonesia - Liga 1 logo Indonesia flag Indonesia - Liga 1 Regular Season - 34 Bung Karno Stadium· Jakarta Saturday, May 23, 2026 09:00
Persija logo Persija PPG 2.13
3-0 HIT CS2
Semen Padang logo Semen Padang PPG 0.50
Away· +309.8% ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
95% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 68.1%
Odds: 1.01 EV: -31.2%
Draw 22.7%
Odds: 10.60 EV: +84.4%
Away 9.2%
Odds: 67.00 EV: +309.8%
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.1% Odds: 1.22 -27.9%
Over 3.5 33.7% Odds: 1.28 -56.9%
BTTS 48.6% Odds: 2.45 +19.1%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0
2nd 3-0
3rd 1-0
4th 2-1
5th 1-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Persija
2.40
Semen Padang
0.52

Model Suggestion

Home -31.2% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -31.2% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+309.8%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 51 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%
O2.5/Under 53%
BTTS/No 49%
Score Hit 43%
ROI -7.4%
Bet Hit 46% (11 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
95%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.13), Away POOR (0.50) - Strong consensus

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