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Persita vs Persis Solo Prediction— Indonesia - Liga 1

Regular Season - 34 ·Saturday, May 23, 2026, 09:00

Persita

PPG 1.63 · HOME

1 – 3

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

Persis Solo

PPG 0.69 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 52.4% vs bookmaker-implied 15.2% — a clear edge.

+245.8% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.6%0-17.5%0-22.9%0-30.8%0-4+0.2%1 1-015.0%1-111.7%1-24.6%1-31.2%1-4+0.3%2 2-011.7%2-19.2%2-23.6%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-06.1%3-14.8%3-21.9%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-03.4%4+-12.6%4+-21.0%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 52.4% 15.2% 6.60 +245.8%

Draw 25.8% 23.8% 4.20 +5.0%

Away win 21.8% 71.4% 1.40 -41.7%

Over 2.5 46.9% 61.7% 1.62 -24.0%

Over 3.5 20.9% 40.0% 2.50 -28.6%

BTTS 49.2% 58.8% 1.70 -16.4%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 51 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 49%

Score Hit 43%

ROI -13.1%

Bet Hit 59%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 30%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-3

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob49.2%

H 52% / xG 1.6-0.8 / U2.5 47% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.7%

#2 1–0 15.0%

#3 2–0 11.7%

#4 0–0 9.6%

#5 2–1 9.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Persita1.6

Persis Solo0.8

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.9% · O3.5 PROB 20.9%

Form & verdict PPG

PERSITA · PPG 1.63

PERSIS SOLO · PPG 0.69

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

66%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.63) vs P(Home)=52.4%

Win probability 1X2

Persita (H) 52.4%

ODDS 6.60 · IMPLIED 15.2% EV +245.8%

Draw 25.8%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV +5.0%

Persis Solo (A) 21.8%

ODDS 1.40 · IMPLIED 71.4% EV -41.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Persita face Persis Solo in Indonesia - Liga 1 on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Persita a 52% chance, the draw 26% and Persis Solo 22%, so Persita are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Persita and 0.8 for Persis Solo (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Persita are averaging 1.63 points per game versus 0.69 for Persis Solo. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +245.8%. This match finished 1-3.

Persita vs Persis Solo Prediction— Indonesia - Liga 1

Match Preview & Prediction

More Indonesia - Liga 1 Predictions