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Qingdao West C. vs Tianjin JT Prediction— China - Super League

China - Super League logo China flag China - Super League Regular Season - 10 Guzhenkou University Sports Center· Qingdao Tuesday, May 5, 2026 11:00
Qingdao West C. logo Qingdao West C. PPG 1.67
1-1 HIT MostLikelyScore
Tianjin JT logo Tianjin JT PPG 1.50
Over2.5· +5.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Qingdao West C. face Tianjin JT in China - Super League on Tuesday, May 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Qingdao West C. a 38% chance, the draw 33% and Tianjin JT 30%, so Qingdao West C. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Qingdao West C. and 1.1 for Tianjin JT (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Qingdao West C. are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 1.50 for Tianjin JT. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +5.0%. This match finished 1-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 37.5%
Odds: 2.22 EV: -16.8%
Draw 32.8%
Odds: 3.15 EV: +3.3%
Away 29.7%
Odds: 3.10 EV: -4.8%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 50.0% Odds: 2.10 +5.0%
Over 3.5 19.9% Odds: 3.80 -14.6%
BTTS 52.6% Odds: 1.80 -5.3%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 1-0
4th 0-1
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Qingdao West C.
1.15
Tianjin JT
1.14

Model Suggestion

BTTS -5.3% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -5.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Over2.5 (+5.0%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 43 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 23%
O2.5/Under 56%
BTTS/No 65%
Score Hit 23%
ROI -11.2%
Bet Hit 50% (14 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.67), Away GOOD (1.50)

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