Today / China - Super League / Qingdao West C. vs Tianjin JT

Qingdao West C. vs Tianjin JT Prediction— China - Super League

Regular Season - 10 ·Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 11:00

Qingdao West C.

PPG 1.67 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Tianjin JT

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.6% vs bookmaker-implied 55.6%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.1%0-111.6%0-26.6%0-32.5%0-4+0.9%1 1-011.6%1-113.3%1-27.6%1-32.9%1-4+1.1%2 2-06.7%2-17.6%2-24.4%2-31.7%2-4+0.6%3 3-02.6%3-12.9%3-21.7%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-11.1%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.5% 45.0% 2.22 -16.8%

Draw 32.8% 31.7% 3.15 +3.3%

Away win 29.7% 32.3% 3.10 -4.8%

Over 2.5 50.0% 47.6% 2.10 +5.0%

Over 3.5 19.9% 26.3% 3.80 -14.6%

BTTS 52.6% 55.6% 1.80 -5.3%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 60 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 33%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 68%

Score Hit 30%

ROI 5.0%

Bet Hit 66%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 36%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob52.6%

D 33% / xG 1.1-1.1 / U2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 13.3%

#2 0–0 10.1%

#3 1–0 11.6%

#4 0–1 11.6%

#5 2–1 7.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Qingdao West C.1.1

Tianjin JT1.1

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.0% · O3.5 PROB 19.9%

Form & verdict PPG

QINGDAO WEST C. · PPG 1.67

TIANJIN JT · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.67), Away GOOD (1.50)

Win probability 1X2

Qingdao West C. (H) 37.5%

ODDS 2.22 · IMPLIED 45.0% EV -16.8%

Draw 32.8%

ODDS 3.15 · IMPLIED 31.7% EV +3.3%

Tianjin JT (A) 29.7%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -4.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Qingdao West C. face Tianjin JT in China - Super League on Tuesday, May 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Qingdao West C. a 38% chance, the draw 33% and Tianjin JT 30%, so Qingdao West C. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Qingdao West C. and 1.1 for Tianjin JT (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Qingdao West C. are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 1.50 for Tianjin JT. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +5.0%. This match finished 1-1.

Qingdao West C. vs Tianjin JT Prediction— China - Super League

Match Preview & Prediction

More China - Super League Predictions