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Seoul vs Anyang Prediction— South-Korea - K League 1

Regular Season - 12 ·Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 10:00

Seoul

PPG 1.80 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Anyang

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 57.8% vs bookmaker-implied 51.8% — a clear edge.

+11.6% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.5%0-18.2%0-24.5%0-31.6%0-4+0.6%1 1-011.2%1-112.3%1-26.7%1-32.4%1-4+0.8%2 2-08.4%2-19.2%2-25.0%2-31.8%2-4+0.6%3 3-04.2%3-14.6%3-22.5%3-30.9%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-02.2%4+-12.4%4+-21.3%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.3% 57.8% 1.73 -23.4%

Draw 30.0% 28.6% 3.50 +5.0%

Away win 25.6% 20.8% 4.80 +13.7%

Over 2.5 50.4% 47.6% 2.10 +5.8%

Over 3.5 26.1% 26.3% 3.80 -0.5%

BTTS 57.8% 51.8% 1.93 +11.6%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 51 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 45%

Score Hit 47%

ROI -30.7%

Bet Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 29%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob57.8%

H 44% / xG 1.5-1.1 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 58%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.3%

#2 1–0 11.2%

#3 0–0✓ 7.5%

#4 2–1 9.2%

#5 2–0 8.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Seoul1.5

Anyang1.1

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.4% · O3.5 PROB 26.1%

Form & verdict PPG

SEOUL · PPG 1.80

ANYANG · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.80) > Away GOOD (1.50)

Win probability 1X2

Seoul (H) 44.3%

ODDS 1.73 · IMPLIED 57.8% EV -23.4%

Draw 30.0%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV +5.0%

Anyang (A) 25.6%

ODDS 4.80 · IMPLIED 20.8% EV +13.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Seoul face Anyang in South-Korea - K League 1 on Tuesday, May 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Seoul a 44% chance, the draw 30% and Anyang 26%, so Seoul are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Seoul and 1.1 for Anyang (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Seoul are averaging 1.80 points per game versus 1.50 for Anyang. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +13.7%. This match finished 0-0.

Seoul vs Anyang Prediction— South-Korea - K League 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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