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Anyang vs Gimcheon Sangmu Prediction— South-Korea - K League 1

Regular Season - 14 ·Wednesday, May 13, 2026, 10:30

Anyang

PPG 1.00 · HOME

2 – 2

FULL TIME

Gimcheon Sangmu

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.4%0-111.8%0-24.9%0-31.3%0-4+0.3%1 1-016.1%1-113.2%1-25.4%1-31.5%1-4+0.4%2 2-09.0%2-17.4%2-23.0%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-03.3%3-12.7%3-21.1%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-11.0%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 42.7% 42.9% 2.33 -0.5%

Draw 32.8% 30.3% 3.30 +8.2%

Away win 24.4% 33.3% 3.00 -16.1%

Over 2.5 34.7% 50.0% 2.00 -30.6%

Over 3.5 13.2% 28.2% 3.55 -31.9%

BTTS 48.1% 57.8% 1.73 -16.8%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 51 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 45%

Score Hit 47%

ROI -30.7%

Bet Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 38%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob48.1%

H 43% / xG 1.1-0.8 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 14.4%

#2 1–1 13.2%

#3 1–0 16.1%

#4 0–1 11.8%

#5 2–0 9.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Anyang1.1

Gimcheon Sangmu0.8

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.7% · O3.5 PROB 13.2%

Form & verdict PPG

ANYANG · PPG 1.00

GIMCHEON SANGMU · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.00) vs Away GOOD (1.50)

Win probability 1X2

Anyang (H) 42.7%

ODDS 2.33 · IMPLIED 42.9% EV -0.5%

Draw 32.8%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV +8.2%

Gimcheon Sangmu (A) 24.4%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -16.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Anyang face Gimcheon Sangmu in South-Korea - K League 1 on Wednesday, May 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Anyang a 43% chance, the draw 33% and Gimcheon Sangmu 24%, so Anyang are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Anyang and 0.8 for Gimcheon Sangmu (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Anyang are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.50 for Gimcheon Sangmu. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +8.2%. This match finished 2-2.

Anyang vs Gimcheon Sangmu Prediction— South-Korea - K League 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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