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Jeju Utd vs Anyang Prediction— South-Korea - K League 1

Matchday 15 ·Sunday, May 17, 2026, 07:30

Jeju Utd

PPG 1.14 · HOME

LAST 5

WWDLW

1 – 2

FULL TIME

Anyang

PPG 1.43 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLLWD

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-016.8%0-116.4%0-28.1%0-32.6%0-4+0.8%1 1-013.5%1-113.2%1-26.5%1-32.1%1-4+0.6%2 2-05.4%2-15.3%2-22.6%2-30.9%2-4+0.3%3 3-01.5%3-11.4%3-20.7%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.3%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 29.4% 40.8% 2.45 -16.8%

Draw 33.8% 31.3% 3.20 +8.2%

Away win 36.9% 34.7% 2.88 +6.3%

Over 2.5 35.0% 47.6% 2.10 -26.5%

Over 3.5 10.6% 26.3% 3.80 -35.8%

BTTS 47.4% 56.5% 1.77 -16.1%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 51 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 45%

Score Hit 47%

ROI -64.7%

Bet Hit 22%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 52%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob47.4%

D 34% / xG 0.8-1.0 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 16.8%

#2 1–1 13.2%

#3 0–1 16.4%

#4 1–0 13.5%

#5 0–2 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Jeju Utd0.8

Anyang1.0

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.0% · O3.5 PROB 10.6%

Form & verdict PPG

JEJU UTD · PPG 1.14

ANYANG · PPG 1.43

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

Chance this pick lands

47%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.14), Away AVERAGE (1.43)

Win probability 1X2

Jeju Utd (H) 29.4%

ODDS 2.45 · IMPLIED 40.8% EV -16.8%

Draw 33.8%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV +8.2%

Anyang (A) 36.9%

ODDS 2.88 · IMPLIED 34.7% EV +6.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Jeju Utd face Anyang in South-Korea - K League 1 on Sunday, May 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Jeju Utd a 29% chance, the draw 34% and Anyang 37%, so Anyang are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Jeju Utd and 1.0 for Anyang (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Jeju Utd are averaging 1.14 points per game versus 1.43 for Anyang. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +8.2%. This match finished 1-2.

Jeju Utd vs Anyang Prediction— South-Korea - K League 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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