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Anyang vs Pohang Steelers Prediction— South-Korea - K League 1

Matchday 16 ·Saturday, July 4, 2026, 10:30

Anyang

PPG 1.00 · HOME

LAST 5

LLLWD

2 – 3

FULL TIME

Pohang Steelers

PPG 1.57 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWLWD

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-019.1%0-114.7%0-25.7%0-31.5%0-4+0.3%1 1-016.9%1-113.0%1-25.0%1-31.3%1-4+0.3%2 2-07.5%2-15.8%2-22.2%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-02.2%3-11.7%3-20.7%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.5%4+-20.2%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.9% 35.1% 2.85 +8.0%

Draw 32.9% 33.3% 3.00 -1.3%

Away win 29.2% 39.2% 2.55 -15.3%

Over 2.5 38.1% 40.8% 2.45 -6.7%

Over 3.5 18.5% 21.1% 4.75 -7.3%

BTTS 46.5% 50.0% 2.00 -7.0%

Home O1.5 33.7% 32.3% 3.10 +4.5%

Away O1.5 22.5% 35.1% 2.85 -21.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 51 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 45%

Score Hit 47%

ROI -64.7%

Bet Hit 22%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 47%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-3

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob46.5%

D 33% / xG 0.9-0.8 / U2.5 38% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 19.1%

#2 1–1 13.0%

#3 1–0 16.9%

#4 0–1 14.7%

#5 2–0 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Anyang0.9

Pohang Steelers0.8

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 38.1% · O3.5 PROB 18.5%

Form & verdict PPG

ANYANG · PPG 1.00

POHANG STEELERS · PPG 1.57

✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

90%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.57) vs Home AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Anyang (H) 37.9%

ODDS 2.85 · IMPLIED 35.1% EV +8.0%

Draw 32.9%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -1.3%

Pohang Steelers (A) 29.2%

ODDS 2.55 · IMPLIED 39.2% EV -15.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Anyang face Pohang Steelers in South-Korea - K League 1 on Saturday, July 4, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Anyang a 38% chance, the draw 33% and Pohang Steelers 29%, so Anyang are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Anyang and 0.8 for Pohang Steelers (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 38% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Anyang are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.57 for Pohang Steelers. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +8.0%. This match finished 2-3.

Anyang vs Pohang Steelers Prediction— South-Korea - K League 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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