Gangwon vs Pohang Steelers Prediction— South-Korea - K League 1

South-Korea - K League 1 Regular Season - 12 Chuncheon Songam Stadium· Chuncheon Tuesday, May 5, 2026 07:30

Gangwon PPG 1.20

1-1 HIT CS2

Pohang Steelers PPG 1.33

Away· +11.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Gangwon face Pohang Steelers in South-Korea - K League 1 on Tuesday, May 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gangwon a 38% chance, the draw 33% and Pohang Steelers 30%, so Gangwon are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Gangwon and 0.9 for Pohang Steelers (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 38% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gangwon are averaging 1.20 points per game versus 1.33 for Pohang Steelers. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +11.0%. This match finished 1-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 37.6%

Odds: 2.00 EV: -24.8%

Draw 32.8%

Odds: 3.10 EV: +1.7%

Away 29.6%

Odds: 4.00 EV: +11.0%

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 38.0% Odds: 2.38 -9.6%

Over 3.5 11.3% Odds: 4.50 -29.5%

BTTS 49.5% Odds: 2.00 -1.0%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0 ✘

2nd 1-1 ✔

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 0-1 ✘

5th 2-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Gangwon

0.96

Pohang Steelers

0.87

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5/Under 56%

BTTS/No 48%

Score Hit 50%

ROI -73.5%

Bet Hit 17% (12 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.20), Away AVERAGE (1.33)