Daejeon Citizen PPG 0.40
Incheon Utd PPG 1.60Daejeon Citizen face Incheon Utd in South-Korea - K League 1 on Tuesday, May 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Daejeon Citizen a 36% chance, the draw 32% and Incheon Utd 33%, so Daejeon Citizen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Daejeon Citizen and 1.2 for Incheon Utd (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Daejeon Citizen are averaging 0.40 points per game versus 1.60 for Incheon Utd. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +8.9%. This match finished 0-0.
Based on 48 resolved predictions
Away momentum: GOOD form (1.60) vs Home POOR (0.40)