Bucheon FC vs Jeju Utd Prediction— South-Korea - K League 1

South-Korea - K League 1 Regular Season - 12 Bucheon Stadium· Bucheon Tuesday, May 5, 2026 05:00

Bucheon FC PPG 0.60

0-1 HIT CS2

Jeju Utd PPG 1.40

Over2.5· +6.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

66% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Bucheon FC face Jeju Utd in South-Korea - K League 1 on Tuesday, May 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bucheon FC a 30% chance, the draw 34% and Jeju Utd 37%, so Jeju Utd are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Bucheon FC and 1.0 for Jeju Utd (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 38% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bucheon FC are averaging 0.60 points per game versus 1.40 for Jeju Utd. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +6.4%. This match finished 0-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 29.6%

Odds: 2.62 EV: -13.5%

Draw 33.6%

Odds: 2.90 EV: -2.6%

Away 36.9%

Odds: 2.88 EV: +6.3%

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 38.0% Odds: 2.80 +6.4%

Over 3.5 9.9% Odds: 5.75 -25.9%

BTTS 48.3% Odds: 2.15 +3.8%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0 ✘

2nd 0-1 ✔

3rd 1-1 ✘

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 0-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Bucheon FC

0.71

Jeju Utd

1.03

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

66%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.40) vs Home POOR (0.60)