Granada vs Sporting Gijon Prediction & Tips

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Spain - Segunda División Regular Season - 42 Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes· Granada Saturday, May 30, 2026 19:00

Granada PPG 1.30

1-2 MISS

Sporting Gijon PPG 0.95

Away· +6.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 36.1%

Odds: 2.32 EV: -16.3%

Draw 27.8%

Odds: 3.30 EV: -5.0%

Away 36.1%

Odds: 2.96 EV: +6.9%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 48.5% Odds: 1.90 -7.8%

Over 3.5 27.9% Odds: 3.25 -5.6%

BTTS 52.0% Odds: 1.67 -13.2%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 0-1 ✘

5th 2-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Granada

1.25

Sporting Gijon

1.11

Model SuggestionBTTS -13.2% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -13.2% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+6.9%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 70 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5/Under 56%

BTTS/No 56%

Score Hit 54%

ROI 8.0%

Bet Hit 64% (11 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.30) > Away POOR (0.95)