Ceuta vs Albacete Prediction & Tips

← Back to picks

Spain - Segunda División Regular Season - 42 Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube· Ceuta Saturday, May 30, 2026 14:15

Ceuta PPG 1.85

1-0 HIT CS4

Albacete PPG 1.40

Away· +12.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 36.0%

Odds: 2.32 EV: -16.5%

Draw 27.8%

Odds: 3.20 EV: -6.6%

Away 36.2%

Odds: 3.10 EV: +12.2%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 48.6% Odds: 1.83 -11.1%

Over 3.5 27.9% Odds: 3.00 -9.8%

BTTS 54.4% Odds: 1.60 -13.0%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 0-1 ✘

4th 1-0 ✔

5th 1-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Ceuta

1.20

Albacete

1.22

Model SuggestionBTTS -13.0% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -13.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+12.2%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.85) > Away AVERAGE (1.40)