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Chile - Primera B Monday, May 4, 2026 22:00 
San Luis PPG 2.00 
U. San Felipe PPG 0.75
Chile - Primera B Monday, May 4, 2026 22:00 San Luis PPG 2.004-0 MISS
U. San Felipe PPG 0.75Home· +6.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
66% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 55.3% Odds: 1.77 -2.1%
Over 3.5 33.0% Odds: 2.95 -2.6%
BTTS 57.3% Odds: 1.62 -7.2%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 2-1 ✘
3rd 2-0 ✘
4th 1-0 ✘
5th 0-0 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
San Luis 1.80
U. San Felipe 1.10
Model Suggestion
BTTS -7.2% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-7.2%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 66%
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=52.0%