Today / Chile - Primera B / CD Santa Cruz vs Copiapo

CD Santa Cruz vs Copiapo Prediction— Chile - Primera B

Regular Season - 14 ·Monday, June 1, 2026, 23:00

CD Santa Cruz

PPG 1.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Copiapo

PPG 0.83 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 65.3% vs bookmaker-implied 51.3% — a clear edge.

+27.3% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.7%0-14.7%0-24.0%0-32.3%0-4+1.4%1 1-05.2%1-18.9%1-27.6%1-34.3%1-4+2.7%2 2-04.9%2-18.4%2-27.1%2-34.1%2-4+2.5%3 3-03.1%3-15.3%3-24.5%3-32.6%3-4+1.6%4+ 4+-02.2%4+-13.8%4+-23.3%4+-31.9%4+-4+1.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 42.7% 44.4% 2.25 -3.9%

Draw 22.1% 30.8% 3.25 -16.9%

Away win 35.3% 35.1% 2.85 +0.6%

Over 2.5 65.3% 51.3% 1.95 +27.3%

Over 3.5 43.1% 29.0% 3.45 +48.7%

BTTS 63.4% 57.8% 1.73 +9.7%

Home O1.5 56.3% 44.4% 2.25 +26.7%

Away O1.5 50.9% 38.2% 2.62 +33.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 39 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 41%

ROI 6.3%

Bet Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 53%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob63.4%

H 43% / xG 1.9-1.7 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.9%

#2 2–1 8.4%

#3 1–2 7.6%

#4 2–2 7.1%

#5 3–1 5.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

CD Santa Cruz1.9

Copiapo1.7

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.3% · O3.5 PROB 43.1%

Form & verdict PPG

CD SANTA CRUZ · PPG 1.00

COPIAPO · PPG 0.83

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away POOR (0.83)

Win probability 1X2

CD Santa Cruz (H) 42.7%

ODDS 2.25 · IMPLIED 44.4% EV -3.9%

Draw 22.1%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV -16.9%

Copiapo (A) 35.3%

ODDS 2.85 · IMPLIED 35.1% EV +0.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

CD Santa Cruz face Copiapo in Chile - Primera B on Monday, June 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives CD Santa Cruz a 43% chance, the draw 22% and Copiapo 35%, so CD Santa Cruz are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for CD Santa Cruz and 1.7 for Copiapo (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, CD Santa Cruz are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.83 for Copiapo. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +48.7%.

CD Santa Cruz vs Copiapo Prediction— Chile - Primera B

Match Preview & Prediction

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