Al Ittihad vs Al Kholood Prediction & Tips

← Back to picks

Saudi-Arabia - Pro League Regular Season - 31 King Abdullah Sports City· Jeddah Monday, May 4, 2026 18:00

Al Ittihad PPG 1.93

0-0 HIT CS5

Al Kholood PPG 1.27

Away· +50.8% ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 46.4%

Odds: 1.48 EV: -31.3%

Draw 27.6%

Odds: 4.60 EV: +27.0%

Away 26.0%

Odds: 5.80 EV: +50.8%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 54.7% Odds: 1.50 -17.9%

Over 3.5 32.3% Odds: 2.25 -27.3%

BTTS 58.5% Odds: 1.60 -6.4%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 2-0 ✘

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 0-0 ✔

Expected Goals (xG)

Al Ittihad

1.66

Al Kholood

1.21

Model SuggestionBTTS -6.4% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -6.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+50.8%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.93) > Away AVERAGE (1.27)