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Peru - Primera División
Apertura - 13
Estadio Municipal Los Chankas· Andahuaylas
Monday, May 4, 2026
18:00
Los Chankas
PPG 3.00
0-1
MISS
D. Garcilaso
PPG 0.33
Home· +5.3%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
66% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
57.2%
Odds: 1.84
EV: +5.3%
Draw
26.2%
Odds: 3.45
EV: -9.6%
Away
16.6%
Odds: 4.20
EV: -30.3%
Model lean:
Home
Result: Away ✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
50.3%
Odds: 2.00
+0.6%
Over 3.5
28.3%
Odds: 3.55
+0.5%
BTTS
50.8%
Odds: 1.83
-7.0%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘
BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-1
✘
2nd
2-0
✘
3rd
1-0
✘
4th
2-1
✘
5th
0-0
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Los Chankas
1.80
D. Garcilaso
0.89
Model Suggestion
Home
+5.3%
ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market:
Home.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
66%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs P(Home)=57.2%