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Peru - Primera División logo Peru flag Peru - Primera División Apertura - 13 Estadio Municipal Los Chankas· Andahuaylas Monday, May 4, 2026 18:00
Los Chankas logo Los Chankas PPG 3.00
0-1 MISS
D. Garcilaso logo D. Garcilaso PPG 0.33
Home· +5.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
66% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 57.2%
Odds: 1.84 EV: +5.3%
Draw 26.2%
Odds: 3.45 EV: -9.6%
Away 16.6%
Odds: 4.20 EV: -30.3%
Model lean: Home
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 50.3% Odds: 2.00 +0.6%
Over 3.5 28.3% Odds: 3.55 +0.5%
BTTS 50.8% Odds: 1.83 -7.0%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-0
3rd 1-0
4th 2-1
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Los Chankas
1.80
D. Garcilaso
0.89

Model Suggestion

Home +5.3% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
66%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs P(Home)=57.2%

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