Hearts vs Rangers Prediction & Tips

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Scotland - Premiership Championship Group - 35 Tynecastle Park· Edinburgh Monday, May 4, 2026 16:30

Hearts PPG 2.53

2-1 HIT CS2

Rangers PPG 1.94

Home· +7.7% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 39.9%

Odds: 2.70 EV: +7.7%

Draw 29.5%

Odds: 3.55 EV: +4.7%

Away 30.6%

Odds: 2.40 EV: -26.6%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 49.9% Odds: 1.70 -15.2%

Over 3.5 27.9% Odds: 2.80 -21.9%

BTTS 55.9% Odds: 1.57 -12.2%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✔

3rd 0-0 ✘

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 1-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Hearts

1.44

Rangers

1.23

Model SuggestionBTTS -12.2% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -12.2% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home (+7.7%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.53) > Away GOOD (1.94)