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Saudi-Arabia - Pro League logo Saudi-Arabia flag Saudi-Arabia - Pro League Regular Season - 31 King Abdullah Sports City Stadium· Buraidah Monday, May 4, 2026 16:10
Al Feiha logo Al Feiha PPG 1.50
4-2 MISS
Al Riyadh logo Al Riyadh PPG 0.60
Home· +17.9% 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
95% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 50.6%
Odds: 2.33 EV: +17.9%
Draw 26.9%
Odds: 3.25 EV: -12.6%
Away 22.5%
Odds: 3.00 EV: -32.5%
Model lean: BTTS
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 54.5% Odds: 2.05 +11.7%
Over 3.5 32.2% Odds: 3.65 +17.5%
BTTS 57.1% Odds: 1.77 +1.1%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 2-0
4th 1-0
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Al Feiha
1.75
Al Riyadh
1.11

Model Suggestion

BTTS +1.1% ROI TRACKS: BTTS
Tracked ROI market: BTTS.
Raw EV leader: Home(+17.9%)

Verdict & Form

🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
95%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.50) vs P(Home)=50.6%

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