Finn Harps vs Bray Wanderers Prediction— Ireland - First Division

Match Preview & Prediction

Finn Harps face Bray Wanderers in Ireland - First Division on Monday, May 4, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Finn Harps a 33% chance, the draw 33% and Bray Wanderers 35%, so Bray Wanderers are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Finn Harps and 1.2 for Bray Wanderers (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 40% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Finn Harps are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.67 for Bray Wanderers. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +19.0%. This match finished 2-1.