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Cobh Ramblers vs UC Dublin Prediction— Ireland - First Division

Regular Season - 14 ·Monday, May 4, 2026, 16:00

Cobh Ramblers

PPG 1.17 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

UC Dublin

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.3%0-114.4%0-29.1%0-33.9%0-4+1.6%1 1-010.3%1-113.1%1-28.3%1-33.5%1-4+1.5%2 2-04.7%2-15.9%2-23.8%2-31.6%2-4+0.7%3 3-01.4%3-11.8%3-21.1%3-30.5%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.5%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 24.6% 40.3% 2.48 -39.0%

Draw 32.6% 29.4% 3.40 +10.8%

Away win 42.8% 37.0% 2.70 +15.6%

Over 2.5 37.2% 54.1% 1.85 -31.2%

Over 3.5 17.7% 30.8% 3.25 -42.5%

BTTS 44.9% 59.9% 1.67 -25.0%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 46%

BTTS 44%

Score Hit 43%

ROI -20.9%

Bet Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 39%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob44.9%

A 43% / xG 0.9-1.3 / U2.5 37% / NoBTTS 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.1%

#2 0–0 11.3%

#3 0–1 14.4%

#4 0–2 9.1%

#5 1–0 10.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Cobh Ramblers0.9

UC Dublin1.3

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 37.2% · O3.5 PROB 17.7%

Form & verdict PPG

COBH RAMBLERS · PPG 1.17

UC DUBLIN · PPG 1.33

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.17), Away AVERAGE (1.33)

Win probability 1X2

Cobh Ramblers (H) 24.6%

ODDS 2.48 · IMPLIED 40.3% EV -39.0%

Draw 32.6%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV +10.8%

UC Dublin (A) 42.8%

ODDS 2.70 · IMPLIED 37.0% EV +15.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Cobh Ramblers face UC Dublin in Ireland - First Division on Monday, May 4, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Cobh Ramblers a 25% chance, the draw 33% and UC Dublin 43%, so UC Dublin are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Cobh Ramblers and 1.3 for UC Dublin (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Cobh Ramblers are averaging 1.17 points per game versus 1.33 for UC Dublin. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +15.6%. This match finished 1-2.

Cobh Ramblers vs UC Dublin Prediction— Ireland - First Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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