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Ireland - Premier Division Monday, May 4, 2026 16:00 
Waterford PPG 0.67 
Dundalk PPG 1.00
Ireland - Premier Division Monday, May 4, 2026 16:00 Waterford PPG 0.673-3 MISS
Dundalk PPG 1.00Draw· +16.4% ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team
65% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw
✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 50.5% Odds: 1.57 -20.7%
Over 3.5 28.4% Odds: 2.40 -31.8%
BTTS 54.8% Odds: 1.55 -15.1%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 1-2 ✘
3rd 0-1 ✘
4th 0-2 ✘
5th 0-0 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Waterford 1.09
Dundalk 1.60
Model Suggestion
BTTS -15.1% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -15.1% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Draw (+16.4%) — probability too low to qualify.
Highest raw EV: Draw (+16.4%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team
DANGER 65%
Home weakness: POOR (0.67) vs Away AVERAGE (1.00)