Shamrock Rovers vs Drogheda Utd Prediction & Tips

← Back to picks

Ireland - Premier Division Regular Season - 15 Tallaght Stadium· Dublin Monday, May 4, 2026 16:00

Shamrock Rovers PPG 2.71

4-1 MISS

Drogheda Utd PPG 1.33

Away· +31.6% ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value

80% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 54.4%

Odds: 1.48 EV: -19.5%

Draw 26.8%

Odds: 4.00 EV: +7.2%

Away 18.8%

Odds: 7.00 EV: +31.6%

Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 50.9% Odds: 1.95 -0.7%

Over 3.5 28.9% Odds: 3.45 -0.3%

BTTS 52.6% Odds: 2.00 +5.2%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-0 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 2-1 ✘

5th 0-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Shamrock Rovers

1.75

Drogheda Utd

0.96

Model SuggestionHome -19.5% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -19.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+31.6%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value

80%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.71) vs P(Home)=54.4%