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Azerbaijan - Premyer Liqa
Regular Season - 30
Tofiq Bahramov Stadium· Baku
Monday, May 4, 2026
15:30
Qarabag
PPG 2.00
2-1
HIT CS5
Turan
PPG 1.93
Away· +56.3%
✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity
70% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
43.0%
Odds: 1.48
EV: -36.4%
Draw
32.1%
Odds: 3.75
EV: +20.4%
Away
25.0%
Odds: 6.25
EV: +56.3%
Result: Home ✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
39.0%
Odds: 1.90
-25.9%
Over 3.5
19.0%
Odds: 3.25
-38.3%
BTTS
46.4%
Odds: 1.93
-10.4%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘
BTTS NO → YES ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-1
✘
2nd
0-0
✘
3rd
1-0
✘
4th
2-0
✘
5th
2-1
✔
Expected Goals (xG)
Qarabag
1.30
Turan
0.94
Model Suggestion
No Bet
NO VALUE BET
Model lean:
No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.
Verdict & Form
✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity
70%
BALANCED
Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.00), Away GOOD (1.93)