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Azerbaijan - Premyer Liqa logo Azerbaijan flag Azerbaijan - Premyer Liqa Regular Season - 30 Tofiq Bahramov Stadium· Baku Monday, May 4, 2026 15:30
Qarabag logo Qarabag PPG 2.00
2-1 HIT CS5
Turan logo Turan PPG 1.93
Away· +56.3% ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity
70% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 43.0%
Odds: 1.48 EV: -36.4%
Draw 32.1%
Odds: 3.75 EV: +20.4%
Away 25.0%
Odds: 6.25 EV: +56.3%
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 39.0% Odds: 1.90 -25.9%
Over 3.5 19.0% Odds: 3.25 -38.3%
BTTS 46.4% Odds: 1.93 -10.4%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 1-0
4th 2-0
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Qarabag
1.30
Turan
0.94

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Verdict & Form

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity
70%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.00), Away GOOD (1.93)

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