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Indonesia - Liga 1 Monday, May 4, 2026 08:30 
Persib PPG 2.87 
PSIM Yogyakarta PPG 1.33
Indonesia - Liga 1 Monday, May 4, 2026 08:30 Persib PPG 2.871-0 HIT CS2
PSIM Yogyakarta PPG 1.33Away· +76.0% ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
80% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 46.0% Odds: 1.62 -25.5%
Over 3.5 24.6% Odds: 2.50 -38.5%
BTTS 47.2% Odds: 2.10 -0.9%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 1-0 ✔
3rd 2-0 ✘
4th 0-0 ✘
5th 2-1 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Persib 1.70
PSIM Yogyakarta 0.81
Model Suggestion
Home -30.6% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -30.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+76.0%) — probability too low to qualify.
Highest raw EV: Away (+76.0%) — probability too low to qualify.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 51 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 57%
O2.5/Under 53%
BTTS/No 49%
Score Hit 43%
ROI -7.4%
Bet Hit 46% (11 bets)
Verdict & Form
✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 80%
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.87) vs P(Home)=56.9%