Today / Argentina - Primera Nacional / All Boys vs San Miguel

All Boys vs San Miguel Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Regular Season - 12 ·Thursday, April 30, 2026, 23:30

All Boys

PPG 1.80 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

San Miguel

PPG 0.75 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-024.1%0-114.7%0-24.5%0-30.9%0-4+0.2%1 1-019.5%1-112.0%1-23.7%1-30.7%1-4+0.1%2 2-07.9%2-14.9%2-21.5%2-30.3%2-4+0.1%3 3-02.1%3-11.3%3-20.4%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.3%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.3% — — —

Draw 41.2% — — —

Away win 23.5% — — —

Over 2.5 17.2% — — —

Over 3.5 5.6% — — —

BTTS 27.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 177 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 67%

ROI -1.5%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 42%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob27.2%

H 35% / xG 0.8-0.6 / U2.5 17% / NoBTTS 27%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 24.1%

#2 1–0 19.5%

#3 1–1✓ 12.0%

#4 0–1 14.7%

#5 2–0 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

All Boys0.8

San Miguel0.6

COMBINED 1.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 17.2% · O3.5 PROB 5.6%

Form & verdict PPG

ALL BOYS · PPG 1.80

SAN MIGUEL · PPG 0.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.80) vs P(Home)=35.3%

Win probability 1X2

All Boys (H) 35.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 41.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

San Miguel (A) 23.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

All Boys face San Miguel in Argentina - Primera Nacional on Thursday, April 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives All Boys a 35% chance, the draw 41% and San Miguel 24%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.8 for All Boys and 0.6 for San Miguel (1.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 17% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 27% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, All Boys are averaging 1.80 points per game versus 0.75 for San Miguel. This match finished 1-1.

All Boys vs San Miguel Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Match Preview & Prediction

More Argentina - Primera Nacional Predictions