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Al Kholood vs Al Feiha Prediction— Saudi-Arabia - Pro League

Matchday 30 ·Thursday, April 30, 2026, 18:00

Al Kholood

PPG 0.71 · HOME

LAST 5

DDDLD

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Al Feiha

PPG 0.87 · AWAY

LAST 5

DWLLL

// Model verdict

BTTS 62% chance

Model probability 62.9% vs bookmaker-implied 61.7% — a real, if thin, edge.

+1.9% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.7%0-17.0%0-25.3%0-32.6%0-4+1.4%1 1-07.4%1-111.0%1-28.2%1-34.1%1-4+2.1%2 2-05.8%2-18.6%2-26.4%2-33.2%2-4+1.7%3 3-03.0%3-14.5%3-23.3%3-31.7%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-01.7%4+-12.5%4+-21.8%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.9% 38.5% 2.60 -1.5%

Draw 27.3% 29.4% 3.40 -7.2%

Away win 34.8% 39.2% 2.55 -11.3%

Over 2.5 58.8% 54.1% 1.85 +8.8%

Over 3.5 36.4% 32.3% 3.10 +12.8%

BTTS 62.9% 61.7% 1.62 +1.9%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 78 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 49%

Score Hit 41%

ROI -20.4%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 46%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob62.9%

H 38% / xG 1.6-1.5 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 11.0%

#2 2–1 8.6%

#3 1–2 8.2%

#4 2–2 6.4%

#5 0–0 4.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al Kholood1.6

Al Feiha1.5

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 58.8% · O3.5 PROB 36.4%

Form & verdict PPG

AL KHOLOOD · PPG 0.71

AL FEIHA · PPG 0.87

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

Chance this pick lands

62%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.71), Away POOR (0.87)

Win probability 1X2

Al Kholood (H) 37.9%

ODDS 2.60 · IMPLIED 38.5% EV -1.5%

Draw 27.3%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -7.2%

Al Feiha (A) 34.8%

ODDS 2.55 · IMPLIED 39.2% EV -11.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Kholood face Al Feiha in Saudi-Arabia - Pro League on Thursday, April 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Kholood a 38% chance, the draw 27% and Al Feiha 35%, so Al Kholood are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Al Kholood and 1.5 for Al Feiha (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Kholood are averaging 0.71 points per game versus 0.87 for Al Feiha. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +12.8%. This match finished 1-1.

Al Kholood vs Al Feiha Prediction— Saudi-Arabia - Pro League

Match Preview & Prediction

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