FC Den Bosch vs ADO Den Haag Prediction— Netherlands - Eerste Divisie

Netherlands - Eerste Divisie Regular Season - 38 De Vliert Friday, April 24, 2026 18:00

FC Den Bosch PPG 1.67

1-3 HIT CS2

ADO Den Haag PPG 2.22

Home· +27.1% ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

90% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

FC Den Bosch face ADO Den Haag in Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on Friday, April 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives FC Den Bosch a 16% chance, the draw 17% and ADO Den Haag 68%, so ADO Den Haag are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for FC Den Bosch and 2.6 for ADO Den Haag (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 74% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 65% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, FC Den Bosch are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 2.22 for ADO Den Haag. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +27.1%. This match finished 1-3.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 15.5%

Odds: 8.20 EV: +27.1%

Draw 16.8%

Odds: 5.40 EV: -9.3%

Away 67.7%

Odds: 1.30 EV: -12.0%

Model lean: Over 2.5

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 73.9% Odds: 1.40 +3.5%

Over 3.5 53.6% Odds: 2.00 +7.2%

BTTS 65.3% Odds: 1.62 +5.8%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-2 ✘

2nd 1-3 ✔

3rd 0-2 ✘

4th 1-1 ✘

5th 0-3 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

FC Den Bosch

1.22

ADO Den Haag

2.63

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 +3.5% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5. 
Raw EV leader: Home(+27.1%)

League Track Record ↗

Based on 19 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5/Under 58%

BTTS/No 53%

Score Hit 26%

ROI -13.7%

Bet Hit 50% (6 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

90%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.22) vs Home GOOD (1.67)