FC Dordrecht vs Willem II Prediction— Netherlands - Eerste Divisie

Match Preview & Prediction

FC Dordrecht face Willem II in Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on Friday, April 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives FC Dordrecht a 26% chance, the draw 26% and Willem II 48%, so Willem II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for FC Dordrecht and 1.5 for Willem II (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, FC Dordrecht are averaging 1.28 points per game versus 1.72 for Willem II. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +14.7%. This match finished 1-2.