RKC Waalwijk vs Jong PSV Prediction— Netherlands - Eerste Divisie

Netherlands - Eerste Divisie Regular Season - 38 Mandemakers Stadion· Waalwijk Friday, April 24, 2026 18:00

RKC Waalwijk PPG 1.56

4-1 MISS

Jong PSV PPG 1.44

Away· +51.8% ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

RKC Waalwijk face Jong PSV in Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on Friday, April 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives RKC Waalwijk a 47% chance, the draw 20% and Jong PSV 33%, so RKC Waalwijk are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for RKC Waalwijk and 1.8 for Jong PSV (4.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 76% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 74% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, RKC Waalwijk are averaging 1.56 points per game versus 1.44 for Jong PSV. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +51.8%. This match finished 4-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 46.6%

Odds: 1.62 EV: -24.5%

Draw 20.4%

Odds: 4.33 EV: -11.7%

Away 33.0%

Odds: 4.60 EV: +51.8%

Model lean: Over 2.5

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 76.2% Odds: 1.38 +5.2%

Over 3.5 56.7% Odds: 1.93 +9.4%

BTTS 74.4% Odds: 1.38 +2.7%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1 ✘

2nd 1-1 ✘

3rd 2-2 ✘

4th 1-2 ✘

5th 3-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

RKC Waalwijk

2.18

Jong PSV

1.82

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 +5.2% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5. 
Raw EV leader: Away(+51.8%)

League Track Record ↗

Based on 19 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5/Under 58%

BTTS/No 53%

Score Hit 26%

ROI -13.7%

Bet Hit 50% (6 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.56), Away AVERAGE (1.44)